Most predictions are wrong, and certainly most of the ones quoted in the financial pages of prestigious newspapers.
So don’t be afraid to make your own.
Here are mine for 2024:
– The definition of what AI is will continue to be an elusive, confusing muddle.
– Unrealistic promises of the technology will fail to materialise and trust will diminish.
– Thousands of AI startups will go belly-up.
– Musk will promise 100% full self-driving by 2025 (it’s an Earth tradition for him to push it one year every year).
– There will be more deaths by ”self-driving cars”.
– There will be advances in healthcare, transport, architecture, farming and robotics using machine learning, but this will have nothing to do with language models.
– A multitude of ongoing court cases will rule in favor of copyright holders, essentially placing a cease-and-desist on many language models.
– In a televised interview Sam Altman vill admit that while language models serve a purpose in writing reports and code faster, they are not the way forward for wicked problem-solving and autonomous intelligence.
– Research will show that school students’ capacity for creative problem solving has regressed with an increase in their use of language models..
I think most of ”The Big AI Crash of 2024” will start happening in June.
Now, what’s your prediction? 😁
«"There is nothing 'transformative' about using The Times's content without payment to create products that substitute for The Times and steal audiences away from it," Times lawyers wrote in the suit on Wednesday.»
«The suit seeks to hold OpenAl and Microsoft responsible for the "billions of dollars in statutory and actual damages that they owe for the unlawful copying and use" of the Times' articles. In addition, the Times' legal team is asking a court to order the destruction of all large language model datasets, including ChatGPT, that rely on the publication's copyrighted works.»
«Lawyers for the paper wrote in the suit: "Users who ask a search engine what The Times has written on a subject should be provided with neither an unauthorized copy nor an inaccurate forgery of a Times article."»
https://www.npr.org/2023/12/27/1221821750/new-york-times-sues-chatgpt-openai-microsoft-for-copyright-infringement